Competing for Grain
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jabbott
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PostPosted:Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:19 am    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by jabbott

Sent to me by user Rick54, original text located at: http://www.energybulletin.com

Supermarkets and Service Stations Now Competing for Grain
Lester R. Brown, Earth Policy Institute

Cars, not people, will claim most of the increase in world grain consumption this year. The U.S. Department of Agriculture projects that world grain use will grow by 20 million tons in 2006. Of this, 14 million tons will be used to produce fuel for cars in the United States, leaving only 6 million tons to satisfy the world’s growing food needs.

In agricultural terms, the world appetite for automotive fuel is insatiable. The grain required to fill a 25-gallon SUV gas tank with ethanol will feed one person for a year. The grain to fill the tank every two weeks over a year will feed 26 people.

Investors are jumping on the highly profitable biofuel-bandwagon so fast that hardly a day goes by without another ethanol distillery or biodiesel refinery being announced somewhere in the world. The amount of corn used in U.S. ethanol distilleries has tripled in five years, jumping from 18 million tons in 2001 to an estimated 55 million tons from the 2006 crop.

In some U.S. Corn Belt states, ethanol distilleries are taking over the corn supply. In Iowa, a staggering 55 ethanol plants are operating or have been proposed. Iowa State University economist Bob Wisner observes that if all these plants are built, they would use virtually all the corn grown in Iowa. In South Dakota, a top-ten corn-growing state, ethanol distilleries are already claiming over half of the corn harvest.

With so many distilleries being built, livestock and poultry producers fear there may not be enough corn to produce meat, milk, and eggs. And since the United States supplies 70 percent of world corn exports, corn-importing countries are worried about their supply.

Since almost everything we eat can be converted into fuel for automobiles, including wheat, corn, rice, soybeans, and sugarcane, the line between the food and energy economies is disappearing.
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Scottimo
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PostPosted:Wed Jul 19, 2006 5:27 pm    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by Scottimo

This may be just the ticket as most of thees big oil nations are not big food growers. how did the line in that old song go a bushel of wheat for a barrel of oil or how about a bushel of corn for a barrel of oil if they don't like the price let them bake bread form their oil see how that tastes It's been obvious to me for a long time we can't grow enough corn to produce all the ethanol this nation would need to replace oil but we can sure use everything we don't need for food and feed and the oil barons can go do obscene things to them selves
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PostPosted:Thu Jul 20, 2006 6:16 am    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by Scottj

Some folks forget that the distillers grain is very high in protein and makes great animal feed. Just because we make fuel with the corn does not mean that the chickens, pigs and cows in this country are going to go without feed.
One of the most successful ethanol plants is a Co-Op that also has a large beef feed lot to utilize the distillers grain. I think it's around Madison WI, I'd like to get a look at it.
I sure like the idea about a bushel of corn for a barrel of oil. It would be nice to see this mess become a two way street.
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curty



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PostPosted:Thu Jul 20, 2006 6:17 am    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by curty

Scottimo wrote:
This may be just the ticket as most of thees big oil nations are not big food growers. how did the line in that old song go a bushel of wheat for a barrel of oil or how about a bushel of corn for a barrel of oil if they don't like the price let them bake bread form their oil see how that tastes It's been obvious to me for a long time we can't grow enough corn to produce all the ethanol this nation would need to replace oil but we can sure use everything we don't need for food and feed and the oil barons can go do obscene things to them selves


Well said Scottimo Wink
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LDJisdaway
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PostPosted:Thu Jul 20, 2006 6:23 am    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by LDJisdaway

A Friend of mine actually buys the distillers grain for his cattle. He said the cows really like it and they seem to fatten up just as quick. Not only can the ethanol plants make money with the ethanol but with what is left over also. Its great all the way around!
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Ahshucks
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PostPosted:Thu Jul 20, 2006 1:09 pm    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by Ahshucks

Would there be any benefit to trying to burn distillers grains? It could be pelletized.
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LDJisdaway
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PostPosted:Thu Jul 20, 2006 6:56 pm    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by LDJisdaway

I don't know about pelletizing it. I know that when it comes out it is very moist so it might take some drying time.
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JET
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PostPosted:Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:57 am    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by JET

Distiller's or Brewer's grain comes from an ethanol plant and they take most of the energy out of the corn. That makes it a poor fuel source for a stove. BTU output is about 1/2 of corn.
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burnsalot
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PostPosted:Fri Aug 04, 2006 6:56 pm    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by burnsalot

I have seen a burn analysis of pelletized distillers grain. It had around 9000 btus. per pound. It also had around 4% ash. They do take energy out, but the left over stuff would be condensed.
The pellets smell sweet, like feed with molasses on it. And yes I had to know, it has a bitter taste. If you remember the hot drink called Postum, I don't know if that is spelled correctly, it tasted like that stuff, only very bitter.


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Ahshucks
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PostPosted:Fri Aug 04, 2006 8:49 pm    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by Ahshucks

burnsalot ... where did you get those pelletized distiller grains? I would like to try a sample of them in my pellet stove.
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xracer
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PostPosted:Mon Aug 07, 2006 8:10 pm    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by xracer

The maddening part of this to me is the U.S. is a big oil nation. We have more oil than all the Middle East and several other countries combined. There's no need for $3/gal gasoline or natural gas shortages. I had an article from Popular Science 1979 about converting coal to gasoline. At the time the cost was about $.90/gal vs $.65-.70 for gasoline making it uncompetitive. However, now it's 27 years later and no doubt the technology has improved. Alas, in 1996 President William Jefferson Clinton locked out the largest clean coal reserves ever discovered and created the first desert wasteland "National Park" in Utah.

Write it down. Utilizing all this corn for ethanol is going to be our achilles heel once the trend lines cross paths. Also, we are so used to having abundant corn crops it's assumed it always will be so. One bad year when the scales are even and we're in big trouble. Prices will then soar and the advent of the corn stove will be nothing but a conversation piece, sold at flea markets for pennies on the dollar or rusting away in our yards.

Why not force the politicians to free up our own resources? With the recent shut down of the Alaskan pipeline, this proves how fragile the supplies are, and it's not because the world is running out of "fossil fuels". It's time to put pressure on Congress.
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jabbott
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PostPosted:Mon Aug 07, 2006 9:46 pm    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by jabbott

I think you would have a hard time coming up with many buyers for the theory that the U.S. has more oil that the middle east. No nation, possibly with the the exception of China, has been more thoroughly searched for oil than the U.S. U.S. oil discovery peaked back in the 1950s and production peaked in 1972. Oil sits in a very narrow window of depth, too deep and the pressure is too great, the atoms crack and you get your methane and lighter gasses. I have a hard time believing there is much oil to be had outside of that window.

Refining coal to produce oil is a pretty stable technology. The Germans did it in World War II, and it proved so costly they had to go after their friend Russia to get their oil fields. A move that cost them the war. Syn-oil from coal, oil shale, all of these technologies are fascinating, but they are not an answer you can run a nation, especially not a nation as thirsty as ours is, on. You suffer from Energy Returned over Energy Spent. If it costs $0.90 of gas to make $0.65 worth of gasoline, it is lunacy or a government project, to make much of it. Just like now, if it costs $4.43 to make $3.19 of gas. It isn't worth it. Just because we could make $0.90 syn-gas back in 1979 doesn't mean we can still make it for that now.

I agree we live in very fragile times and I have said from the very beginning; use your corn burner, save money, because right now, at this time it is much cheaper than burning petroleum products. It won't always be so. I think the whole ethanol phenomena is a cop out to keep us hooked. Big oil is in the whitehouse, they want us to keep buying those Hummers. What we need is to build a public transportation system in a short amount of time. What we need is the public transportation system we had back in the 1940s, rebuilt. If we don't, there are going to be a lot of people and good that aren't gonna be getting around very much in a few years.

We don't need to free up resources, we need to conserve the ones we have.
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fwbroke
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PostPosted:Tue Aug 08, 2006 7:18 am    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by fwbroke

"Just like now, if it costs $4.43 to make $3.19 of gas."

JA, I know one of the complaints about corn ethanol is that it takes more energy to make than it provides (think I am right, not going to look it up right now). How much energy is spent (gasoline, diesel, electricity, nat gas, whatever else) to take my gas from 'insert any place' other than U.S or Canada and.

Drill it,
Tank it,
Move it,
Store it,
Put it on a tanker,
offload and store it,
Distill it,
Transfer to regional holding tanks (via pipelines or trucks)
from local holding tanks,
to my gas station
then I get to pay $3+ for it.

I have not heared (outside of your post) what is costs in fossil fuel to get fossil fuel to the pump. Too bad those oil tankers didn't run on syn-gas.

Anyone got any resources that talk about this? I am assuming JA's is just a guess?

Point being, maybe corn ethanol isn't REALLY that bad of a deal.
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Ahshucks
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PostPosted:Tue Aug 08, 2006 7:49 am    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by Ahshucks

fw ... You forgot "TAX" it Crying or Very sad
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xracer
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PostPosted:Tue Aug 08, 2006 12:47 pm    Post subject Reply with quoteFind all posts by xracer

jabbott wrote:
I think you would have a hard time coming up with many buyers for the theory that the U.S. has more oil that the middle east. No nation, possibly with the the exception of China, has been more thoroughly searched for oil than the U.S. U.S. oil discovery peaked back in the 1950s and production peaked in 1972. Oil sits in a very narrow window of depth, too deep and the pressure is too great, the atoms crack and you get your methane and lighter gasses. I have a hard time believing there is much oil to be had outside of that window.

Refining coal to produce oil is a pretty stable technology. The Germans did it in World War II, and it proved so costly they had to go after their friend Russia to get their oil fields. A move that cost them the war. Syn-oil from coal, oil shale, all of these technologies are fascinating, but they are not an answer you can run a nation, especially not a nation as thirsty as ours is, on. You suffer from Energy Returned over Energy Spent. If it costs $0.90 of gas to make $0.65 worth of gasoline, it is lunacy or a government project, to make much of it. Just like now, if it costs $4.43 to make $3.19 of gas. It isn't worth it. Just because we could make $0.90 syn-gas back in 1979 doesn't mean we can still make it for that now.

I agree we live in very fragile times and I have said from the very beginning; use your corn burner, save money, because right now, at this time it is much cheaper than burning petroleum products. It won't always be so. I think the whole ethanol phenomena is a cop out to keep us hooked. Big oil is in the whitehouse, they want us to keep buying those Hummers. What we need is to build a public transportation system in a short amount of time. What we need is the public transportation system we had back in the 1940s, rebuilt. If we don't, there are going to be a lot of people and good that aren't gonna be getting around very much in a few years.

We don't need to free up resources, we need to conserve the ones we have.


Not to get into a political discussion, but I will remind you that Congress (by a slim margin) has shot down each and every attempt to increase our own oil production. Like it or not, oil is the fuel that runs the engine of democracy. Until we invent the matter/anti-matter reactor and locate the dilithium crystal mines to power it, oil will be needed for many decades to come. Hydrogen is still a gleam in daddy's eye and can never replace petroleum's infinte uses.

The same arguments for 'Energy In Energy Out' for ethanol could be used for coal. The difference is corn is corn is corn and it can only be converted by one method; distillation, and it hasn't changed much in thousands of years. Brazil is the poster child for ethanol proponents. Fine, but we don't live in Brazil and can't grow sugar cane. We do however have vast amounts of coal, and with the latest technology it's CLEANER than corn derived alcohol when you factor in the chemicals dumped in the soil. Ethanol is not the answer to our energy needs, but it creates votes.
http://www.climateark.org/articles/reader.asp?linkid=17791
http://www.rentechinc.com/rentech-projects.htm


It's no secret 48 states are land locked for new drilling or energy exploration, and as I said Clinton locked x millions of acres preventing clean coal extraction from the largest reserve in the world, right here in the U.S. Yes, Germany used a primitive process in WW2, and even in 1979 it was not cost effective. It should be noted that Germany did not have nuclear power, which again is a hot potato in the U.S. Why? I didn't say we could convert at $.90/gal, but like everything else as technology improves, so does the cost. This isn't 1940, 1950 or 1980!!


We haven't built a new refinery in 30+ years. In Michigan we have zero refineries, the last one closing not too many years ago. One reason is the technological improvements made to refining processes, but the major reason is pure politics, nothing more. We can't build offshore drilling rigs in the Gulf of Mexico, but Cuba will! California offshore drilling? Nope, not in their backyard. Anwar? Once again, no way....even though Alaska was purchased precisely for it's resources. The U.S. has HUGE natural gas reserves, but guess what....yep, you guessed it.

Almost 6 years ago I read this article: http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=15542 . Intrigued by this, I forwarded it to a friend of mine in Texas, a retired bio-physicist. He knew exactly what it was and said he was involved in developing this technology in the early 70's. Two teams were formed, one in Texas, the other in Canada. He assumed the Canadian side won out. It's done with electricity (insulated rods placed in the wells) and as he explained, if I recall correctly, the ground is charged creating hydrogen gas thereby forcing the oil up through the ground. He recalls the ground being dry one day and the next a lake of oil. This is not a fairy tale as I've corraborated with a 3rd party through my friend. He's no dummy; has 2 phD. I've known him for about six years, he's 78 now. When I first met him he talked about being the in the war, which I assumed was Korea. However, he mentioned Okinawa and other Pacific Theater islands, which after doing the math didn't make sense. He then revealed he enlisted at age 14 in World War 2!! He's quite an interesting man.

My friend also does not believe in the "finite oil" theory (I haven't for 20+ years) and does not ascribe to the popular explanation that oil is derived from fossils and plants, something that's never been proven, but does make for a good political football to throw around to scare the masses. He says oil is formed from deep within the earth's core via a continuing bio-chemical process and pushed outward. His technical explanation along with using a little deductive reasoning and research, it makes much more sense. One simple question is if oil supplies are dwindling, how is it that abandoned wells magically regenerate themselves in time? Also, if oil is derived from fossils, how is it that Russia is drilling several miles into the earth? How can oil "fall" down to depths like that? Also, helium and other gases....fossils?

As for oil production, or lack thereof in the U.S., it became unprofitable to compete with Middle East oil, so it dried up so to speak. That doesn't mean North America ran out of oil, it only means we stopped getting it; a simple matter of economics. Plus, and this is the biggest kicker, the government has all but locked ALL new oil exploration and extraction. It isn't publicized in the media, and I don't recall where I first read about it, but there are attempts to circumvent the idiotic short sighted policies of the 70's and earlier. Here's a few links, although not the original source:
http://www.stansberryonline.com/OIL/20060405-OIL-COL.asp?pcode=WOILG705&alias=200604OIL&scode=XOILG705
http://vivisimo.rand.org/vivisimo/cgi-bin/query-meta?v%3Aproject=pubs&input-form=simple&query=oil+shale
http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/news_columnists/article/0,1299,DRMN_86_4051709,00.html

I don't have a problem with public transportion such as once was, but outside large cities, it's completely impractical. We don't live in a static economy. It grows, and that means more energy. There's a reason why the U.S. has the greatest economy in the world, including the fact we feed the world, not to mention just about every other technological achievments the world has known, like medicine. There's also a reason why Europe's economy is in a perpetual state of stagnancy. It's not hard to figure out. If Americans want to follow the European model, we won't need large amounts of energy.

Necessity is the mother of invention, not conservation or artificially created energy markets. Call it a conspiracy, but there is no shortage of oil. If there is a conspiracy, the government created it.
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